Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.905415 1.107338 1.322953 1.568320 1.837912 2.123375 2.446809
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.675143 0.956018 1.278810 1.668683 2.119109 2.616414 3.200570
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.530351 0.843454 1.223715 1.702272 2.273356 2.920160 3.696059
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.409469 0.737126 1.158054 1.708838 2.385539 3.169029 4.125565
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.296613 0.617450 1.056165 1.653803 2.409376 3.302604 4.410891
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.210495 0.516971 0.965013 1.600207 2.425212 3.419195 4.670307
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.151079 0.442900 0.899030 1.570055 2.462630 3.555633 4.947992
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.118324 0.405780 0.880730 1.599762 2.573336 3.779668 5.329608
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.088243 0.364888 0.851173 1.609787 2.655570 3.966578 5.665121
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.058409 0.313151 0.797622 1.580677 2.682423 4.081602 5.910999
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.052053 0.314534 0.830816 1.677304 2.877872 4.410187 6.420633
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.046012 0.314779 0.861317 1.769750 3.067921 4.732542 6.923631
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.039705 0.314700 0.895224 1.874576 3.285401 5.103414 7.504534
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.033588 0.313122 0.926577 1.976950 3.502103 5.476896 8.093654
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.023441 0.291652 0.918605 2.017056 3.631278 5.736498 8.539743
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013630 0.261464 0.890276 2.023189 3.711833 5.932626 8.906459
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004621 0.215221 0.823052 1.962903 3.695504 6.000102 9.109494
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000632 0.174866 0.759769 1.903598 3.676732 6.061609 9.302834
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.145892 0.714905 1.870323 3.691948 6.165105 9.546745
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.134472 0.709427 1.903137 3.803428 6.397051 9.955444
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.119528 0.692292 1.914217 3.882003 6.584523 10.307052
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.097909 0.652326 1.882052 3.894316 6.681493 10.541273
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.103092 0.688745 1.988722 4.116575 7.064319 11.146860